Kurdish Policy Analysis

     Sun Tzu in the 21st Century: Iran’s Strategy Is Reshaping Global Power as  Iran is trying to make the war too expensive to sustain, not win it outright.   Erbil, Iraq, March 26, Kurdish Policy Analysis While the world’s leaders are scrambling around like someone just pulled the fire alarm at a nursing home, Iran is executing. Methodically. Patiently. Like they’ve read every page of Sun Tzu and used the spare copy to wipe their arse with Trump’s Truth Social post. Iran is waging asymmetric economic warfare, using low-cost drones against expensive defense systems to impose disproportionate costs. Despite U.S. claims of degrading Iran’s capabilities, attacks continue, while Washington faces rising financial burdens, a $200 billion funding request, and no clear end strategy. The core argument: Iran does not need military victory—it aims to make the war economically and politically unsustainable for its adversaries. The current conflict reflects real-time “Ar...

  Tehran's strategy is built not on defeating its enemies but on simply surviving a prolonged war of attrition. The notion that such a vast and geographically complex country could be invaded and its regime toppled through external military intervention is, in political terms, a pipe dream. When Michael Corleone delivers this famous line in The Godfather Part III, it captures a tragic reality — the illusion of escape from a conflict that refuses to end. In recent days, the unfolding Iran war has begun to resemble that same grim dynamic for the US. For a brief moment, it seemed as if the conflict might be winding down as Iran's retaliation died down. In fact, US President Donald Trump signalled that the campaign against Iran had achieved its objectives. Israeli leaders spoke of decisive blows against Tehran's military infrastructure. But wars, particularly in the Middle East, rarely follow the scripts written in political speeches. Just as the rhetoric of victory began to ta...

While US has made Operational Progress yet challenges remain  Tehran’s strategy is built not on defeating its enemies but on simply surviving a prolonged war of attrition. The notion that such a vast and geographically complex country could be invaded and its regime toppled through external military intervention is, in practical terms, a pipe dream. - The war in Iran is currently in a phase in which the military trajectory is relatively positive: the United States is steadily destroying Iran’s ability to use its most essential tool in the war  — drone and missile attacks — which in turn underpin the entire Iranian strategy. Iran has still done some damage to US forces, and it is still firing drones and missiles, though the overall attack rate is slowly decreasing. These attacks still pale in comparison to the major attacks Iran sought to conduct in an existential war and have caused neither operationally significant damage nor widespread casualties. - The US-Israeli combined ...

How Iran is trying to win the war? Iran is not trying to win the war, it is trying to make it very expensive That's two completely different games. And most people still don’t understand the difference. Iran is not fighting a military war. Iran is fighting an economic war. Their goal is not to hit the military base. or warships. They don't even target Israel or the United States Iran has changed its goal of war. Their target is the price of oil. Iran has made their goal very clear. $200 per barrel of oil.  That's how Iran declares victory - not by shooting down an F-35, but by doubling oil prices and causing unbearable pain, it would be devastating to the global economy, creating a situation where 50 presidents call Trump every day to stop the war. Think about that strategy for a moment. 15,000 martyr drones, which cost several thousand dollars, will hit the billion-dollar oil infrastructure in the region. Iran has been preparing for this war for decades  Stop the movement ...

  Iraqi Militia Missile weapon system worth less than 50 thousand Iraqi dinars ($35) wreaks havoc in Iraq Local social media have reported that the recent militia proxy attack that killed a french soldier in the French-based forces near Erbil is so cheeply produced that one cannot help but to laugh. The weapon missile system is old model derived from the previous Baathi regime and it dates back to 2000s and only costs 35 USD to launch an attack. Iraqi Militias have used this weapon system as an asymetric warfare to threaten and intimidate the Peshmarga forces, US and Coalition forces training local forces. So far they have launched hundreds of these cheap missiles to kurdistan region of Iraq and terrorizing the local people.The militias rely on this cheaply produced weapons system to defy the more superior technologically advanced missile systems like anti-drone system, Cruise, Tomahok and hypersonic missiles lanched by B1, B2 and B52. This is perhaps the reason the war will not en...