Is the U.S. Misjudging Iran? Overconfidence Raises Risks as Conflict Enters Volatile Phase
U.S. overconfidence may be shaping a volatile conflict, Analysts warn Washington may be underestimating Iran Erbil, March 23 — Pshtiwan Faraj U.S. overconfidence risks misreading Iran’s strategy as war enters volatile phase As the U.S.-led campaign against Iran continues to evolve, some analysts argue that Washington’s initial assumptions about Tehran’s likely response may have underestimated the resilience and strategic options available to the Islamic Republic, raising questions about overconfidence in early planning. The argument, reflected in commentary and analysis such as that published by 1News , suggests that U.S. expectations — including the belief that sustained pressure and limited strikes would quickly degrade Iran’s capacity or force a rapid political concession — have not fully accounted for Iran’s asymmetric doctrine, regional leverage, and willingness to absorb and respond to pressure over time. At the core of the critique is the idea that decision-m...